Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIV
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
NEW
4 - 3
MAC
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1954 |
BUR
3 - 1
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
MAC
4 - 1
TOT
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1954 |
PNE
4 - 0
MAC
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
MID
2 - 1
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1954 |
WOL
2 - 4
MID
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1954 |
MID
2 - 2
OPA
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1954 |
BPO
0 - 0
MID
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1954 |
MID
3 - 3
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |