Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BPO
0 - 0
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
FUL
1 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 2
HUR
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
MID
1 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
ASV
4 - 0
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
MID
2 - 0
WOL
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
OPA
1 - 1
MID
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |