Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1938 |
ASV
3 - 2
MAC
45%
21%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
STO
3 - 2
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
BPO
2 - 1
MAC
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1938 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1938 |
LUT
1 - 3
MAC
30%
22%
49%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
MID
4 - 2
DER
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
MID
1 - 0
GRI
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1938 |
PNE
0 - 2
MID
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1938 |
YOR
1 - 0
MID
24%
22%
55%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
MID
3 - 1
CHA
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |