Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
GRI
5 - 3
MAC
61%
19%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
SHW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
MAC
4 - 1
PNE
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 3
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
BOL
0 - 2
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
LEE
5 - 0
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
DER
0 - 2
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
MID
3 - 2
MUD
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
SHW
1 - 0
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
MID
2 - 1
PNE
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |