Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 2
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 3
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1924 |
MID
0 - 1
BIR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
MID
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
MID
0 - 1
WBA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1924 |
BBU
2 - 0
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
MID
1 - 1
EVE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |