Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
SHE
2 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
MID
2 - 2
HUR
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
BOL
4 - 2
MID
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1922 |
HUR
2 - 1
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
MID
4 - 2
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
BBU
2 - 2
MID
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |