Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
NOT
0 - 2
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
BBU
0 - 1
MAC
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
MAC
2 - 1
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
BOL
2 - 3
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
TOT
3 - 3
MID
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
BRA
1 - 1
MID
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1914 |
MID
3 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |