Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MAC
0 - 0
BBU
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
SUN
3 - 1
MID
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MID
0 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
SHE
2 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 0
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |