Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
3 - 1
EVE
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
0 - 0
BBU
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
5 - 1
MID
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
0 - 0
MID
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
MID
2 - 1
SUN
42%
24%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
BBU
4 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |