Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
CHL
79%
14%
8%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 2
MAC
20%
21%
59%
|
100 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 3
ACM
79%
14%
7%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 4
CEL
91%
7%
2%
|
100 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
81%
12%
7%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MUD
0 - 3
LIV
26%
22%
52%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MUD
3 - 2
BET
65%
20%
15%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GLA
0 - 2
MUD
11%
18%
72%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 0
MUD
8%
16%
76%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |