Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
INT
0 - 3
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
LEA
96%
3%
0%
|
90 | 9 | 81 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 1
MAC
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
VAN
1 - 2
MAC
15%
24%
61%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
AME
0 - 2
MAC
1%
11%
88%
|
90 | 9 | 81 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
MUD
6 - 0
RBN
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
8 - 2
MUD
4%
15%
82%
|
95 | 33 | 62 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 1
FCB
43%
25%
33%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
SES
0 - 7
MUD
15%
23%
62%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
NER
1 - 4
MUD
12%
23%
65%
|
95 | 69 | 26 | 0 |