Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CHL
0 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
WBA
2 - 0
MAC
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
MAC
3 - 1
CRY
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 0
MAC
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
MUD
2 - 0
BIR
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 4
MUD
55%
23%
22%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
3 - 0
MID
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
1 - 2
CHL
49%
25%
26%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
74%
17%
9%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |