Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 0
MAC
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
MAC
2 - 1
TOT
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1985 |
WBA
2 - 3
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 3
SHW
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
MUD
3 - 0
OXF
79%
15%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
MUD
3 - 0
NEW
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 3
MUD
35%
27%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1985 |
MUD
2 - 0
WHU
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
ARS
1 - 2
MUD
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |