Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
MAC
0 - 1
TOT
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 0
WBA
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
CAR
3 - 3
MAC
46%
22%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 3
NEW
52%
20%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
ARS
5 - 4
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
NTT
3 - 2
MUD
33%
22%
45%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1961 |
MUD
3 - 1
BOL
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
WOL
2 - 1
MUD
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
LEI
6 - 0
MUD
43%
21%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |