Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1957 |
MAC
5 - 1
CHA
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
MAC
50%
22%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 2
LUT
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 3
BOL
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1957 |
SHW
2 - 1
MUD
35%
23%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1957 |
ATH
5 - 3
MUD
67%
17%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1957 |
MUD
6 - 1
NEW
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 0
CHL
77%
14%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
OPA
1 - 3
MUD
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |