Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
CAR
3 - 0
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1954 |
ARS
2 - 3
MAC
74%
14%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAC
56%
21%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
MUD
1 - 1
HUR
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 1
TOT
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
TOT
0 - 2
MUD
46%
23%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
MUD
3 - 1
CHA
67%
18%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |