Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
WBA
2 - 2
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1936 |
MAC
1 - 1
GRI
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
GRI
5 - 3
MAC
61%
19%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
SHW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 2
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
36%
23%
41%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
0 - 4
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
WOL
3 - 1
MUD
76%
13%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |