Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
DER
1 - 1
MAC
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
MAC
0 - 4
SHE
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAC
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1930 |
LEE
4 - 2
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1930 |
MUD
0 - 2
GRI
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1930 |
SHW
3 - 0
MUD
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1930 |
HUR
3 - 0
MUD
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
MUD
4 - 7
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
MUD
0 - 6
HUR
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |