Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
BIR
4 - 1
MAC
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
NOT
2 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
MAC
6 - 1
SOU
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
LEE
0 - 1
MAC
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
WBA
1 - 1
MAC
47%
21%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1928 |
ASV
0 - 0
MUD
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
LEI
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
MUD
6 - 1
LIV
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
ARS
0 - 1
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |