Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 1
MAC
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
OLD
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
BBU
3 - 1
MAC
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 1
BBU
62%
20%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
ARS
0 - 1
MAC
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
MUD
2 - 1
TOT
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 2
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 1
PNE
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
PNE
3 - 2
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHL
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |