Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 2
HUR
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1920 |
HUR
0 - 1
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1920 |
MAC
0 - 0
BBU
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1920 |
BBU
0 - 2
MAC
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
SHE
0 - 0
MUD
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1920 |
MUD
2 - 1
SHE
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1920 |
PNE
0 - 0
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 0
PNE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |