Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
NOT
4 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
4 - 1
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
BOL
6 - 2
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
1 - 4
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
3 - 1
OLD
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 1
MID
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
MID
1 - 1
MUD
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
MUD
5 - 1
PNE
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 3
MUD
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
SHW
1 - 3
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |