Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 3
MAC
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 2
BRI
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
SHW
4 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
MUD
5 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
ASV
4 - 2
MUD
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
SHW
0 - 0
MUD
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
MUD
1 - 1
SHE
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 3
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |