Manchester City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
MAC
5 - 1
MUD
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAC
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
WIM
1 - 0
MAC
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
MAC
1 - 0
QPR
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
COV
2 - 1
MAC
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
LUT
1 - 1
WIM
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
MAN
3 - 4
LUT
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
COV
1 - 0
LUT
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
LUT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
QPR
0 - 0
LUT
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |