Manchester City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
ARS
3 - 1
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
LUT
1 - 2
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
MAC
4 - 6
WOL
31%
23%
45%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1959 |
MAC
3 - 1
FUL
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
SHW
1 - 0
MAC
59%
19%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
FUL
4 - 2
LUT
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
LUT
1 - 2
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
LUT
0 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1959 |
BPO
0 - 0
LUT
66%
18%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1959 |
LUT
0 - 1
LEE
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |