Manchester City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 3
BOL
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
MAC
2 - 3
WOL
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1956 |
MAC
5 - 4
CHL
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
PNE
3 - 1
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1956 |
LUT
4 - 2
CHA
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
SUN
1 - 0
LUT
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 2
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 1
LUT
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
3 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |