Europa League 1/64
Global 4-2
Manchester City vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 2
MAC
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MAC
4 - 1
ASV
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
LLA
0 - 2
MAC
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
BBU
2 - 3
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 1
LOK
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LOK
0 - 6
AND
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MON
1 - 1
LOK
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
LOK
3 - 1
DIN
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 2
KSK
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |