Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 3
MUD
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 0
MAC
36%
25%
39%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 3
MAC
19%
22%
60%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
STO
0 - 2
MAC
9%
17%
73%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
24%
22%
54%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 0
MAC
36%
25%
39%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CRY
1 - 2
LIV
10%
17%
73%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
5 - 0
WAT
83%
13%
5%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +2 |