Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 2
MAC
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 0
TOT
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
OPA
2 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 2
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
STO
0 - 1
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
LIV
1 - 3
SHW
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1933 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
72%
16%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
LIV
1 - 1
WBA
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
DER
3 - 1
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
LIV
4 - 3
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |