Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
GRI
3 - 5
MAC
46%
23%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 0
SHW
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 1
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
MUD
1 - 3
MAC
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
MAC
4 - 3
DER
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
LIV
5 - 2
BPO
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
LEE
1 - 2
LIV
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1931 |
SHW
3 - 5
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
LIV
4 - 2
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 2
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |