Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
ASV
4 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 2
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
ASV
60%
20%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 1
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 2
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 0
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |