Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
LIV
4 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 1
PNE
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
OLD
1 - 3
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
LIV
4 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
SHE
0 - 1
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
ASV
2 - 1
LIV
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
TOT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |