Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
ASV
2 - 0
MAC
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1913 |
MAC
4 - 0
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
TOT
4 - 0
MAC
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 2
TOT
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIV
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 1
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 2
SHE
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |