Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
0 - 1
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
MAC
5 - 1
BCF
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
WOL
3 - 2
MAC
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1910 |
SHE
2 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
LIV
2 - 3
NTT
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
BBU
1 - 2
LIV
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
LIV
1 - 2
BRA
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |