Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
MID
3 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 1
PNE
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
3 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
MAC
0 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
PNE
2 - 0
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 2
BRI
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 1
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
ARS
5 - 0
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |