Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 1
MAC
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 3
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
DER
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
BCF
3 - 1
MAC
43%
23%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
LIV
1 - 0
BRA
91%
7%
3%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 3
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
OLD
0 - 1
LIV
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 0
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |