EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-5
Manchester City vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
LIN
4 - 1
MAC
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
CRY
3 - 1
MAC
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
POR
0 - 2
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 2
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
WIG
1 - 0
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
LIN
4 - 1
MAC
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAR
36%
29%
35%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
LIN
0 - 1
HUL
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
CHE
4 - 1
LIN
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |