Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 8-0
Manchester City vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
ARS
1 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
MAC
4 - 0
MUD
54%
23%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
LIE
0 - 3
MAC
41%
25%
35%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
IPS
1 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
BEE
1 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
LIE
3 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
LIE
0 - 3
MAC
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
LIE
3 - 2
LIE
38%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
LIE
2 - 1
KSK
65%
17%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |