Manchester City vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 1
MAC
9%
19%
73%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 4
MAC
10%
19%
71%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
EVE
79%
14%
8%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WHU
2 - 2
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAC
4 - 0
CRY
82%
12%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 0
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
3 - 0
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 2
TOT
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ASV
1 - 1
LEI
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
TOT
0 - 1
LEI
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |