Manchester City vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
PNE
1 - 5
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
BPO
1 - 3
MAC
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
MAC
2 - 1
BBU
54%
21%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
MAC
1 - 2
LUT
64%
18%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
LEI
2 - 3
BBU
53%
21%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
MUD
4 - 1
LEI
70%
16%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
LEI
1 - 1
TOT
46%
22%
32%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
BIR
3 - 4
LEI
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1959 |
BPO
3 - 3
LEI
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |