Manchester City vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1954 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
MAC
3 - 1
PNE
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOT
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
LEI
2 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 1
SHE
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1954 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEI
62%
19%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
CHL
3 - 1
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
LEI
1 - 2
WOL
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |