Manchester City vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
EVE
6 - 3
MAC
58%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAC
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
3 - 3
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
LEI
1 - 1
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 1
LEI
71%
17%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1908 |
LEI
1 - 1
BRI
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 0
LEI
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
LEI
1 - 1
SHW
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |