Manchester City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
CRE
1 - 1
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
MAC
2 - 1
GRI
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1999 |
WBA
0 - 2
MAC
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
MAC
3 - 0
SWI
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 4
MAC
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
LEE
1 - 2
ASV
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
ARS
2 - 0
LEE
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1999 |
LEE
2 - 1
LEI
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CHL
0 - 2
LEE
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
LEI
0 - 0
LEE
34%
26%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |