Manchester City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
TOT
1 - 2
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
ARS
4 - 0
MAC
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
MAC
4 - 0
WHU
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
0 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
QPR
1 - 1
LEE
29%
29%
43%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
LEE
1 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
LEE
0 - 1
QPR
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
STO
3 - 0
LEE
34%
28%
37%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
LIV
1 - 1
LEE
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |