Manchester City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 1
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
1 - 0
BCF
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEE
73%
16%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
NTT
4 - 0
LEE
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
LEE
4 - 1
LIV
32%
31%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |