Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Manchester City vs Górnik Zabrze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
MAC
1 - 1
COV
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
DER
0 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
GÓR
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
MAC
0 - 0
WOL
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1971 |
IPS
2 - 0
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
GÓR
2 - 0
GKS
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
GÓR
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1970 |
GÓR
1 - 0
STA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1970 |
ENE
1 - 0
GÓR
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
GÓR
3 - 1
WAR
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |