Manchester City vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.7%
2.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
3º
1º
2
17º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 97 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 86 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 79 |
3º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 65 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 65 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 62 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 62 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 58 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 55 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 53 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 37 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 37 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 35 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
24% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 28 |
20º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 2
MAC
14%
19%
68%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
81%
12%
7%
|
100 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
CHL
79%
14%
8%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 2
MAC
20%
21%
59%
|
100 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 3
ACM
79%
14%
7%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IPS
0 - 2
LIV
9%
15%
76%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 0
NIC
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOF
0 - 1
IPS
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 2
F95
43%
23%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 0
SHA
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |