Manchester City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1951 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAC
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
SHE
0 - 0
MAC
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
MAC
6 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
SOU
2 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
MAC
1 - 0
BBU
69%
18%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
SWA
1 - 3
GRI
58%
20%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
GRI
0 - 1
WHU
62%
20%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
LEE
1 - 0
GRI
55%
21%
24%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
GRI
0 - 2
LUT
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
BRE
5 - 1
GRI
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |