Manchester City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1948 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
SUN
0 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
HUR
1 - 1
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1947 |
MAC
1 - 1
HUR
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
SHE
4 - 0
GRI
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
GRI
1 - 2
SUN
44%
22%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
CHL
2 - 3
GRI
62%
18%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 0
CHL
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 2
GRI
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |