Manchester City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
GRI
5 - 3
MAC
61%
19%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
SHW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
MAC
4 - 1
PNE
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 3
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
CHA
1 - 0
GRI
43%
23%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
GRI
5 - 3
MAC
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
EVE
3 - 0
GRI
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
GRI
2 - 2
HUR
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
SUN
5 - 1
GRI
73%
15%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |